TriggerPoint Reports!

TriggerPoint ALERTS!

TPR ALERT! – Shutterfly (SFLY)

TPR ALERT! - Shutterfly (SFLY)

Shutterfly (SFLY) Breaking UP  – BUY TRIGGER ALERT!

Details:

Shutterfly is moving toward a fast zone above the $33.55 level. There is a potential for a quick squeeze toward $37, a 10% upside from here. Volume is picking up, but note that this is a thinly traded stock and the current short interest of 7.5 days makes it a good candidate for a massive move as shorts look to cover if the price begins to move quickly above the noted level. Wait until confirmed with a move above $33.55 to initiate a position or add to an existing one. Also, as a low point entry, $32.50 can be used for today.

Profit and/or  Stop Levels:

Look to take profit above $38. (if there is a strong move, the price could move as high as $41.50)
Stop : $31.04

 

 

Please see risk disclosures before acting on this ALERT!


Link to this article: http://wp.me/p2bhUt-FE

Symbol(s): NTES in ALERTS!, Breaking Down


TPR ALERT! – Atwood Oceanics Inc (ATW)

TPR ALERT! - Atwood Oceanics Inc (ATW)Atwood Oceanics Inc (ATW) is feeling some pressure today on the heels of news within the industry and the fact that oil is getting toppy.
What they do: Atwood Oceanics, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the international offshore drilling contractor engaged in the drilling and completion of exploratory and developmental oil and gas wells.

As of September 30, 2011, the Company owned a fleet of 10 mobile offshore drilling units located in the United States Gulf of Mexico, South America, the Mediterranean Sea, West Africa, Southeast Asia and Australia. During the fiscal year ended September 30, 2011 (fiscal 2011), it had a utilization rate of 95%. Its offshore drilling equipments include semisubmersible rigs,

jack-up drilling rigs, semisubmersible tender assist rigs and submersible drilling rigs. It obtains the contracts, under which it operates its units either through individual negotiation with the customer or by submitting proposals in competition with other contractors. In October 2010, it entered into turnkey construction agreements with PPL Shipyard PTE LTD to construct two Pacific Class 400 jack-up drilling units.

Atwood Oceanics Inc (ATW) Bouncing off of Support- BUY/TRIGGER ALERT!

Trigger Details:

The 50-day MA as well as out level of important support are closely aligned. With the overall market condition showing a strong-uptrend, often times these are levels that will be supported by institutions.
The ALERT! was triggered at $46.70 and a confirmation add-on is on a move above $47.85.

Profit and/or  Stop Levels:

Please note that BOUNCE ALERTS! are have a lower overall confidence/conviction and should be seen as such. If planning on acting on the ALERT! use a partial position above the trigger ($46.70) and then add-on if the move is confirmed ($47.85).

Please see risk disclosures before acting on this ALERT!

TPR Pre-Earnings Report – Retail Bonanza: Earnings for May 16th, 2012

TPR Pre-Earnings Report - Retail Bonanza:  Earnings for May 16th, 2012Lots of retail earnings being reported this week. Earnings included in the report for May 16th, 2012 include:

Limited Brands (LTD)
NetEase Inc. (NTES)
Hot Topic (HOTT)
Deere & Co. (DE)
Target (TGT)
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)
Staples (SPLS)

Retail sales came out yesterday and while positive and in line with analysts expectations, they were only up by one tenth of one percent or 0.1% on a month over month basis.

Most of the draw down was attributed to building materials, department stores, and clothing.  With this in mind, traders will need to be cautious about going long into any of the earnings coming out tomorrow.
However, it is important to note that on a year over year basis, we are still seeing growth of retail sales at about 6%.  This amount has come down slightly over the past few months from the high of about 9% and has slowly stagnated to around 6%.  Despite the month over month data, this is still fairly good growth, this may just be a disappointing month / quarter for retailers, especially considering seasonality.

 

 
(Check out the User Guide for additional information)

Download (PDF, 1.91MB)

Please see important risk disclosures before acting on this information.

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Link to this article: http://wp.me/p2bhUt-FE

Symbol(s): NTES in ALERTS!, Breaking Down


 

 

TPR Earnings Report – Research in Motion (RIMM)

TPR Earnings Report - Research in Motion (RIMM)Research in Motion (RIMM) could really use a big lift and we are not so sure they are going to get it.  Expectations have been grim since the slow decline of the Blackberry and the almost forgotten Playbook.  RIMM seems to be heading to the depths of where Nokia (NOK) currently resides.

It will be extremely important to watch for guidance in this earnings report and will need to be considered prior to any trade.

For the current report anything better than $0.85 on EPS and $4.625 Billion on sales could send the stock moving up to $14.18.  If there is a break at $14.18 look for next line of resistance at $14.75.

On the downside, anything less than $0.76 on EPS and $4.365 Billion in sales the downward selling could continue.  If this is the case look for support at the $13 handle and then again at $12.85, however after that, we are in uncharted territory.

There are basically two ways to play this.

If you believe that analysts have been too harsh and the company has been unjustly sold, then the look to get long the position on a break above $14.18 if they beat expectations. (see report for additional details)
If they disappoint, there is also support down just below $13 and a buy limit at $12.75 may be able to be a bounce point that can be low enough to enter.  Below $12.40 is the stop on that idea.

 

Download (PDF, 388.33KB)


Link to this article: http://wp.me/p2bhUt-FE

Symbol(s): NTES in ALERTS!, Breaking Down


TPR Pre-Earnings Reports – SFLY, ADM, CMI, ATW, V, APKT, WYNN, EL & More…

TPR Pre-Earnings Reports - SFLY, ADM, CMI, ATW, V, APKT, WYNN, EL & More...The following companies are reporting during the next couple of days and below are the Pre-Earnings reports that will get you all of the detail and information you need to understand the earnings announcements.

Shutterfly Inc (SFLY)
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co (ADM)
Cummins Inc (CMI)
Atwood Oceanics Inc (ATW)
Biogen Idec Inc (BIIB)
Pfizer Inc (PFE)
Visa Inc (V)
Atmel Corp (ATML)
Acme Packet Inc (APKT)
Wynn Resorts Ltd (WYNN)
Estee Lauder Cos Inc/The (EL)
Patriot Coal Corp (PCX)

(Check out the User Guide for additional information)

Download (PDF, 2.79MB)

Please see important risk disclosures before acting on this information.

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Link to this article: http://wp.me/p2bhUt-FE

Symbol(s): NTES in ALERTS!, Breaking Down


 

 


TPR ALERTS! – A Quick Introduction

The engine behind TriggerPoint ALERTS! is continually searching for opportunities to enter positions that display a higher probability of breaking out (up or down). Traditional methods such as moving averages, MACD, RSI and candle patterns have serious limitations, especially when trading in an age of computer driven strategies. Moreover, as most have already realized, overbought and oversold signals that are derived from many of these indicators often provide false signals which end up being nothing more than entries in the dark.

Behind the Scenes

For any security, our algorithms first calculates price action and accumulating volume-at-price over time. Then, specific ranges and levels of important turning points are “locked-in” from our proprietary swing and momentum algorithm. These ranges are clearly illustrated on our charts as three colored horizontal lines (red, teal and green). Each range is then dynamically plotted by Triggerpoint Research and continually compares the most recent to the previous, and so on.

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READ MORE…

Garbage In, Garbage Out

Professional traders agree that with any technically driven trading strategy, the data is perhaps the most important consideration. If the data is flawed, the strategy will be flawed. This is why TriggerPoint Research only uses data from Bloomberg and other well-respected vendors.

The fact is that “free” data from the web is fine for a simple chart review. However, with real money on the line, we are not willing to use anything other than the most trusted and reliable sources.

The Alert! Trigger

Once ranges are calculated, there are several conditions that will trigger an Alert! based on momentum, trend. Those in which there is a high conviction rating will be sent via email or SMS/text to subscribers with a summary and an action plan. (From time to time we provide a sampling of  ALERTS! on Twitter – follow @triggertrading)

Here is an example chart with the ranges and potential TriggerPoints.

Click HERE for a follow-up on the actual for Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) ALERT! which broke down for a potential gain of 20% within 2-days.

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